I haven't said much of anything on the bailout situation. My last entry was a copy of a Ron Paul article on the subject. And I've shared a ton of articles in my "Items if Interest"\Shared Items page. I am working on a fairly extensive entry about economics in my "RIGHT Policy" series which will address it somewhat. But as you can probably imagine, I do have a lot of thoughts about this deal and have a little bit of time to discuss it this morning.
Basically, the title says it all. We are reaping what we sowed. This problem goes back to a decision in the 1990s to loan money to people who could not afford to pay it back. Even with the timing, I do not blame that all on Bill Clinton. We had a Republican Congress, then we elected a Republican president, and we re-elected Republicans into Congress up until two years ago. Fact is, both Republicans and Democrats have their names all over this one. Congress made some really bad decisions and now they want us to trust that they know how to fix it.
Even worse, people have been able to see the potential problems with this sub-prime garbage ever since the policies were put in place. Below I have the text from an article WRITTEN IN 1999!!! about how risky it was to lower the loan approval process and loaning money to people with poor credit. So, people who understand finances knew this was dangerous, but they were under a lot of political pressure to ignore the danger. Bankers and mortgage brokers are much to blame here for taking on the risk of course, but they probably felt they had no choice with the promises of the reward and their obligation to their shareholders to produce a certain value.
What's the fix? Well, I'm a bit torn here. If Congress is partially to blame, they may shoulder some of the responsibility to help us out. As the article below states, putting policies in place to bail us out of a mess is something that has been done before. But at the same time if something is done to fix the current mess, we also need to do something to make sure we keep from getting into the same mess again. That is what I see missing from the bailouts as they are proposed right now. It's like they are saying, "we all messed up so now lets just make someone else (taxpayers) fix it." If they do that, WHAT WILL MAKE THEM LEARN THEIR LESSON?!! So I'm leaning toward the idea that we need to let this work itself out via normal market procedures. The hard thing to deal with there is that things could get REALLY BAD. Meaning many people, including myself and all of you, could suffer.
So for now, I'm going to just say I'm happy the vote failed yesterday. I still feel like there isn't as big a rush on this as President Bush and Congress are saying. Sure, the longer we wait, the more banks that will fail. But someone will pick things up from there. And if providing a ton of money to banks is the fix, then we can do that later if it becomes evident that it is the only way out. I think we just all need to calm down a little bit and see where this goes to over the next few weeks\months. Also, keep in mind that Congress is supposed to be adjourned FOR THE YEAR right now. Think they might want to be pushing this through so they can go home?
Anyway, that's enough for now. Here is the article I mentioned earlier...
September 30, 1999
Fannie Mae Eases Credit To Aid Mortgage Lending
By STEVEN A. HOLMES
In a move that could help increase home ownership rates among minorities and low-income consumers, the Fannie Mae Corporation is easing the credit requirements on loans that it will purchase from banks and other lenders.
The action, which will begin as a pilot program involving 24 banks in 15 markets -- including the New York metropolitan region -- will encourage those banks to extend home mortgages to individuals whose credit is generally not good enough to qualify for conventional loans. Fannie Mae officials say they hope to make it a nationwide program by next spring.
Fannie Mae, the nation's biggest underwriter of home mortgages, has been under increasing pressure from the Clinton Administration to expand mortgage loans among low and moderate income people and felt pressure from stock holders to maintain its phenomenal growth in profits.
In addition, banks, thrift institutions and mortgage companies have been pressing Fannie Mae to help them make more loans to so-called subprime borrowers. These borrowers whose incomes, credit ratings and savings are not good enough to qualify for conventional loans, can only get loans from finance companies that charge much higher interest rates -- anywhere from three to four percentage points higher than conventional loans.
''Fannie Mae has expanded home ownership for millions of families in the 1990's by reducing down payment requirements,'' said Franklin D. Raines, Fannie Mae's chairman and chief executive officer. ''Yet there remain too many borrowers whose credit is just a notch below what our underwriting has required who have been relegated to paying significantly higher mortgage rates in the so-called subprime market.''
Demographic information on these borrowers is sketchy. But at least one study indicates that 18 percent of the loans in the subprime market went to black borrowers, compared to 5 per cent of loans in the conventional loan market.
In moving, even tentatively, into this new area of lending, Fannie Mae is taking on significantly more risk, which may not pose any difficulties during flush economic times. But the government-subsidized corporation may run into trouble in an economic downturn, prompting a government rescue similar to that of the savings and loan industry in the 1980's.
''From the perspective of many people, including me, this is another thrift industry growing up around us,'' said Peter Wallison a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. ''If they fail, the government will have to step up and bail them out the way it stepped up and bailed out the thrift industry.''
Under Fannie Mae's pilot program, consumers who qualify can secure a mortgage with an interest rate one percentage point above that of a conventional, 30-year fixed rate mortgage of less than $240,000 -- a rate that currently averages about 7.76 per cent. If the borrower makes his or her monthly payments on time for two years, the one percentage point premium is dropped.
Fannie Mae, the nation's biggest underwriter of home mortgages, does not lend money directly to consumers. Instead, it purchases loans that banks make on what is called the secondary market. By expanding the type of loans that it will buy, Fannie Mae is hoping to spur banks to make more loans to people with less-than-stellar credit ratings.
Fannie Mae officials stress that the new mortgages will be extended to all potential borrowers who can qualify for a mortgage. But they add that the move is intended in part to increase the number of minority and low income home owners who tend to have worse credit ratings than non-Hispanic whites.
Home ownership has, in fact, exploded among minorities during the economic boom of the 1990's. The number of mortgages extended to Hispanic applicants jumped by 87.2 per cent from 1993 to 1998, according to Harvard University's Joint Center for Housing Studies. During that same period the number of African Americans who got mortgages to buy a home increased by 71.9 per cent and the number of Asian Americans by 46.3 per cent.
In contrast, the number of non-Hispanic whites who received loans for homes increased by 31.2 per cent.
Despite these gains, home ownership rates for minorities continue to lag behind non-Hispanic whites, in part because blacks and Hispanics in particular tend to have on average worse credit ratings.
In July, the Department of Housing and Urban Development proposed that by the year 2001, 50 percent of Fannie Mae's and Freddie Mac's portfolio be made up of loans to low and moderate-income borrowers. Last year, 44 percent of the loans Fannie Mae purchased were from these groups.
The change in policy also comes at the same time that HUD is investigating allegations of racial discrimination in the automated underwriting systems used by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to determine the credit-worthiness of credit applicants.